Despite a low-scoring affair last week, our model likes the OVER to 54.5 points scored in the Hamilton Tiger-Cats' second meeting in as many weeks against the Ottawa RedBlacks.

Ottawa is 5-1 to the over on their team total in the last six games with Dru Brown under center. Prior to last week's dud performance, Brown had averaged 410.0 passing yards per game with 14 touchdowns and four picks in his previous five contests. Now, he takes on a Hamilton defence that has given up over 400 yards and at least 28 points in three of five games this season.

On the other side of the ball, Bo Levi Mitchell looks like he's turned back the clock. 13-year CFL vet leads the CFL in passing yards (1,485) and should feast against an Ottawa defence that ranks seventh in opponent pass efficiency and yards per pass attempt (9.1).

Two gunslingers against two suspect defences. That's a recipe for success when betting an over. Our model gave this a 7.17 BMS rating (71.7% win probability).