The 2025 season kicks off with an NFC East classic, the Dallas Cowboys against the reigning champion Philadelphia Eagles. In what our model projects to be a shootout, we've targeted a gunslinger to cut it loose on Thursday night.

Dak Prescott's line of 249.5 yards is about to get demolished. The Cowboys' signal caller has thrown for at least 271 yards in four consecutive games against the Eagles, and our model likes that trend to continue. Despite not playing them last season, Prescott has made a career of lighting up the Birds. He's 4-1 in his previous five starts against Philly with 16 touchdowns to one interception and a stellar 127.4 passer rating, whilst leading the Boys to over 37 points scored per game.

With a limited rush attack and a new weapon at WR, Prescott is poised to ensure the Cowboys keep pace with a high-octane Philadelphia offence come kickoff. A game script that has the Cowboys trailing is precisely what an over bettor wants, and that's more than likely the situation Dak and the Boys will find themselves in Thursday night.

Pick: Dak Prescott Over 249.5 Passing Yards
Line: -117
BMS Score: 6.72
Win Probability: 67.2%

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