CHAMPIONS LEAGUE FINAL BREAKDOWN

2023-06-08 · 3 min read · Champions League/Soccer
Inter Milan's Lautaro Javier Martínez and Manchester City's Erling Haaland

Marcio Machado/Eurasia Sport Images/Getty Images | Simon Stacpoole/Offside

Manchester City vs Inter Milan
Inter meanwhile heads into the game in an unusual position, with almost zero expectations. This is no fault to Inter but rather a compliment to City’s fearsome dominance. Inter should embrace the ‘nothing to lose’ approach which could well play in their favour as they look to win the European Cup for a fourth time.
Manchester City are again sweating on the fitness of two defenders, with Kyle Walker and Manuel Akanji missing training on Tuesday, otherwise, the Premier League champions have a clean bill of health.
Inter Milan hopes to have Henrikh Mkhitaryan fit for the final and is also doubtful about Joaquin Correa's availability. Dalbert has been ruled out.
Romelu Lukaku, on loan from Chelsea, will be hoping to start in Istanbul, with head coach Simeone Inzaghi facing a decision in attack.
Manchester City may never have a better chance of winning the Champions League and in turn a famous Treble. That is not to say that Inter are pushovers, but you truly cannot take any team over City in a win-or-go-home scenario. City took down rivals Manchester United last weekend 2-1 to win the FA Cup scoring just 15 seconds into the match. Guardiola infamously tinkered too much when City lost to Chelsea in the final two years ago, so there is always that danger, but you would think any selection should overpower Inter this weekend.
Best Bets
Currently, City sits as heavy betting favourites at -210 to win in 90 minutes (bet $21 to win $10). Those are difficult odds to bet on despite being confident City will take care of business. The return just is not worth it. Milan at +600 or a tie after regulation at +390 tempts you to fade the favourites, exactly like the oddsmakers are hoping.
If you’re set on betting on City, look at half-time/full-time with City leading at the half and after the final whistle at +114. Draw/City at +350 is tempting considering Inter will most likely have a defensive mentality which may be enough to slow City down until at least half-time.
As for goal scorers, well there’s one name everyone thinks of: Erling Haaland. At +225 anytime scorer, it's difficult to tell you not to bet on that. I would set my sights on City midfielder Ilkay Gundogan however. Gundogan scored twice last weekend in the 2-1 FA Cup win over United and has a tendency of finding the net in big matches. At +1100 I am all over that. Lautaro Martinez at +900 is your best bet for any Inter players scoring.
Lastly, my winning margin bet would be City to win by two goals at +333. Many people are thinking this may be a four or five-nil match but I don’t see it that way. Inter have played in big matches and I expect them to play their part and keep the match interesting.
Best Bets
City to lead at half-time and full-time +114, Ilkay Gundogan anytime scorer +1100 and City to win by two goals +333.
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By: Aaron Cantin

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